BTC/USD 14.07.2017

The overwhelming market correction last week took its toll on the mood of altcoins holders. BTC was as well subject to correction, although not so dramatic.

What’s happening:

  • The $2,300 support zone has formed and been persistent hitherto.
  • BTC currently outperforms the market, which is predictable as investors massively rush to BTC from altcoins

If we neglect general market moods, from the fundamental viewpoint, SegWit and related rumors currently push the price. Seemingly, investors are anticipating news that is why the price is trading in the range between $2,250 and $2,544 from the outset of July

Ideas to follow:

  • The $2,300 support zone is strong: it was tested four times and four times it exhibited its power. The probability to hit $2,200 is much lower than $2,544.
  • In case negative news comes out and the price starts to fall, it is likely to decrease abruptly to $2,000 or even $1,900. This is feasible, as the price might hit marginal positions and stop-loss orders will be executed.

Still, the probability of this scenario remains low.

Currently, the following targets are set for BTC: $2,544, $2,724, $2,880

ETH/USD 14.07.2017

Given the overwhelming market correction, Ethereum price exceeded the $225 support zone and remained lower afterward. As such, $225 has become a new support zone. The graph of ETH shows the retest, which is generally a negative sign for ETH holders.

The following scenarios should be considered:

  • The support zone has been able to withstand the pressure of traders. A new support zone at $175 is being set up.
  • Another test of support level.
  • The least possible scenario suggests deep falling to $125 avoiding potential support zone at $175.

From the technical viewpoint, the first scenario is most likely to take place. The second scenario is possible only if the market receives some positive impetus. Fundamentally, ETH’s price fall positively affects the technical side of Ethereum ecosystem: as the price of gas decreases, many contracts might be executed at considerably lower price. At the same time, the token values of many companies that went on ICO using Ethereum Blockchain are pegged to its base currency ETH, so that the decrease in price directly affects the capitalization of these companies.

LTC/USD 14.07.2017

Increasing volatility at LTC/USD limits all endeavors to build strong levels of support and resistance globally. Locally, the support level is $42, the resistance level is $55. But if we take a look at shorter trading time intervals, indeed $48 looks like a good support zone.

The following scenarios should be considered:

  • Tests of $42. In this case, trading volumes should be closely considered and monitored. It is very likely that this level will become the support zone after all.
  • Rise to $52, which is also a possible scenario. However, it will be harder to trade it without a good entry point so that risk/profit ratio remained acceptable.
  • Further decrease beyond $42, as well as a sudden rise in price above $55, are almost unlikely scenarios, from the current view.

As a result, the best scenarios for a trader will be tests of $42, since a good entry point might be set up there. If the price follows the second scenario, it is advisable to stay out of the market.

News and fundamental factors at BTC remain the same; they could be checked on in the previous market reviews.